Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.029229 0.031971 0.034679 0.037548 0.040498 0.043437 0.046581
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.023752 0.028173 0.032655 0.037512 0.042603 0.047762 0.053366
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.020259 0.025818 0.031578 0.037929 0.044683 0.051608 0.059206
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.016734 0.023029 0.029700 0.037179 0.045236 0.053581 0.062813
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014288 0.021171 0.028619 0.037089 0.046311 0.055939 0.066658
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.012042 0.019343 0.027419 0.036732 0.046973 0.057742 0.069801
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009982 0.017565 0.026150 0.036192 0.047341 0.059145 0.072429
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007677 0.015304 0.024208 0.034799 0.046686 0.059368 0.073719
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006899 0.014856 0.024312 0.035664 0.048479 0.062203 0.077777
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005793 0.013895 0.023753 0.035726 0.049339 0.063983 0.080656
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004371 0.012375 0.022452 0.034880 0.049136 0.064560 0.082193
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003606 0.011681 0.022111 0.035113 0.050116 0.066410 0.085084
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002486 0.010429 0.021158 0.034760 0.050600 0.067897 0.087798
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001537 0.009275 0.020307 0.034543 0.051273 0.069642 0.090854
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000944 0.008561 0.019975 0.034917 0.052601 0.072097 0.094671
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000264 0.007261 0.018773 0.034184 0.052611 0.073046 0.096799
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.006423 0.018133 0.034095 0.053336 0.074767 0.099748
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005513 0.017317 0.033748 0.053727 0.076085 0.102225
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004589 0.016396 0.033224 0.053879 0.077108 0.104348
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003368 0.014874 0.031873 0.053013 0.076944 0.105124
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003213 0.015053 0.032712 0.054742 0.079721 0.109164
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002744 0.014655 0.032773 0.055523 0.081401 0.111962
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001979 0.013619 0.031952 0.055218 0.081819 0.113330